Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) dengan Model Localised dalam Menaksir Risiko Relatif DBD di Kota Makassar

Rusydah Khaerati, Sri Astuti Thamrin, Andi Kresna Jaya

Abstract


Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive (CAR) is used in disease mapping because it is able to model relative risks by taking into account the smoothing of the estimated relative risk and entering spatial information to reduce the errors of the estimated relative risk parameters so that a more reliable relative risk model is obtained. In this study, the relative risk value of the spread of dengue fever will be calculated using Bayesian CAR with the localised model. These results were obtained using the OpenBUGS program and are illustrated in the 2016 dengue fever case data. Based on the model, mapping of dengue fever in Makassar can be identified in each district and shows that Makassar City is still very vulnerable to dengue fever.


Keywords


Bayesian Conditional Autoregressive, Dengue Fever, Localised Model, Relative Risk

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References


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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.20956/ejsa.v1i1.9298

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