Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method

Authors

  • Nur Ismi Khair Universitas Haluoleo
  • Ruslan Ruslan Universitas Halu Oleo
  • Agusrawati Agusrawati Universitas Halu Oleo

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20956/j.v21i3.43563

Keywords:

Forecasting, Prophet, Electricity, consumption, MAPE, MSE

Abstract

This study aims to determine electricity consumption forecasting in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency using the Prophet method. The data used in this study are secondary data obtained from PT PLN ULP Unaaha which consists of data on the amount of monthly electricity consumption from January 2019 to November 2023. The results showed that the Prophet method obtained an error calculation value using MAPE of 1.09%. So that the Prophet method can be used to forecast electricity consumption in East Kolaka Regency and Konawe Regency.

Author Biographies

Nur Ismi Khair, Universitas Haluoleo

Program Studi S1 Statistika, Universitas Halu Oleo

Ruslan Ruslan, Universitas Halu Oleo

Program Studi S1 Statistika, Universitas Halu Oleo

Agusrawati Agusrawati, Universitas Halu Oleo

Program Studi S1 Statistika, Universitas Halu Oleo

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Published

2025-05-14

How to Cite

Khair, N. I., Ruslan, R., & Agusrawati, A. (2025). Forecasting Analysis of Electricity Consumption in East Kolaka and Konawe Districts Using Prophet Method. Jurnal Matematika, Statistika Dan Komputasi, 21(3), 832–846. https://doi.org/10.20956/j.v21i3.43563

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Section

Research Articles