Impact of Price Fluctuations of Rice, Shallots, Chilies on Inflation

Article Sidebar

PDF DOWNLOAD
Published: Jun 25, 2024
DOI: https://doi.org/10.20956/jsep.v20i2.35057
Keywords:
inflation; price fluctuation of rice; shallots; chilies. inflasi, fluktuasi harga beras, bawang merah, cabai

Main Article Content

Amanda Dwi Lestari
IPB University
Elfira Erlikasna
IPB University
Ridho C. Simbolon
IPB University
Irena Breta
IPB University
Muhammad Daniyal
IPB University

Abstract

Rice, shallots, chilies are one of the main food commodities. The increase in commodity prices could cause an increase in inflation in West Java Province. The aim of the research is to identify the influence of commodity price fluctuations for rice, shallots and chilies on inflation in West Java Province. The data used is secondary monthly time series data from 2019 to 2013 sourced from BPS. The analysis and calculations used by researchers are Vector Autoregression (VAR) analysis. The results show that commodity price movements of rice and chilies have a positive effect on inflation and are statistically significant and shallots are a commodity that makes a significant contribution to inflation. The price of shallots has a significant impact in the short term on the inflation rate in West Java Province. To maintain price stability, the government needs to set a benchmark price for shallots in the market to avoid unreasonable price spikes and carry out market operations by selling onions directly to consumers at lower prices to stabilize prices in the market.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Article Details

How to Cite
Dwi Lestari, A. ., Erlikasna, E., C. Simbolon, R., Breta, I. and Daniyal, M. . (2024) “Impact of Price Fluctuations of Rice, Shallots, Chilies on Inflation”, Jurnal Sosial Ekonomi Pertanian, 20(2), pp. 219-226. doi: 10.20956/jsep.v20i2.35057.
Issue
Vol. 20 No. 2 (2024): June, 2024
Section
Articles
Creative Commons License

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.

This works is under Creative Commons Attribution License
Crossref
Scopus
Google Scholar
Europe PMC

References

Ni’mah, E. N., & Yulianto, S. (2017). Peramalan laju inflasi dan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar amerika menggunakan model Vector Autoregressive (VAR) dan Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). University Research Colloquium, 481–490. http://journal.unimma.ac.id/index.php/urecol/article/view/1071

Azwina, R., & Syahbudi, M. (2022). Pengaruh Fluktuasi Harga Komoditas Pangan Terhadap Inflasi di Provinsi Sumatera Utara tahun (2019-2021). El-Mal: Jurnal Kajian Ekonomi & Bisnis Islam, 4(1), 238–249. https://doi.org/10.47467/elmal.v4i1.1373

Farizi, R. R., & Kornitasari, Y. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Jumlah Persediaan BerasDan Harga Beras Terhadap PembentukanInflasi Di Provinsi Dki Jakarta. Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies, 2(2), 386–403. http://dx.doi.org/10.21776/jdess.2023.02.2.14

Ristianti, D. F., & Purwadi, J. (2019). Implementasi Metode VECM (Vector Error Corection Model) dalam Menganalisis Pengaruh Kurs Mata Uang, Inflasi dan Suku Bunga terhadap Jakarta Islamic Indeks (JII). Jurnal Ilmiah Matematika, 6(1), 13. https://doi.org/10.26555/konvergensi.v6i1.19544

Saputra, D. D., & Sukmawati, A. (2021). Pendekatan Analisis Vector Error Corretion Model (VECM) Dalam Hubungan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Dan Sektor Pariwisata. Seminar Nasional Official Statistics, 2021(1), 120–129. https://doi.org/10.34123/semnasoffstat.v2021i1.787

Faizin, M. (2021). Penerapan Vector Error Correction Model pada Hubungan Kurs, Inflasi dan Suku Bunga. E-Journal Ekonomi Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 8(1), 33. https://doi.org/10.19184/ejeba.v8i1.18810

Putri, M., Nuryaman, A., & Warsono. (2023). Penerapan Model Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) pada Peramalan Data Nilai Ekspor dan Nilai Impor Seluruh Komoditas di Provinsi Lampung Tahun 2022. Jurnal Siger Matematika, 04(02), 67–75. https://lampung.bps.go.id/indicator/8/151/8/nilai-ekspor-

Bahtiar, R., & Raswatie, F. D. (2023). Analisis Fluktuasi Harga Pangan di Kota Bogor. Indonesian Journal of Agriculture Resource and Environmental Economics, 1(2), 70–81. https://doi.org/10.29244/ijaree.v1i2.42020

Chintia, R. A., & Destiningsih, R. (2022). Pengaruh Harga Komoditas Pangan Terhadap Inflasi Di Kota Semarang. Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi Bisnis, 27(2), 244–258. https://doi.org/10.35760/eb.2022.v27i2.4948

Arizka, H., Hasan, I., & Rosada, I. (2018). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Fluktuasi Harga Cabai Rawit Di Pasar Barandasi, Kabupaten Maros. Wiratani: Jurnal Ilmiah Agribisnis, 1(2), 116–125. https://doi.org/10.33096/wiratani.v1i2.25

G. E. Deo, P., Sanjaya, R., & Gandajaya, L. (2017). Analisis Kualitas Layanan Lazada Dengan Menggunakan Metode E-Servqual Dan Ipa. Journal of Accounting and Business Studies, 2(1), 1–19. https://doi.org/10.61769/jabs.v2i1.205

Helbawanti, O., Saputro, W. A., & Ulfa, A. N. (2021). Pengaruh Harga Bahan Pangan Terhadap Inflasi Di Indonesia. AGRISAINTIFIKA: Jurnal Ilmu-Ilmu Pertanian, 5(2), 107. https://doi.org/10.32585/ags.v5i2.1859

Putri Hariyanti, Nelvia Iryani, & Putri Ayu. (2023). Fluktuasi Harga Komoditas Pangan Dan Pengaruhnya Terhadap Inflasi Di Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Ekuilnomi, 5(1), 99–108. https://doi.org/10.36985/ekuilnomi.v5i1.554

Wijaya, W., Dwirayani, D., Savitri, M. I., Wahana, S., & Cipto Astuti, L. (2023). Efisiensi dan Risiko Usahatani Bawang Merah di Kecamatan Gebang, Kabupaten Cirebon, Jawa Barat. Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia, 11(2), 408–421. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2023.11.2.408-421

Kusnadi, N. A. (2018). Pengaruh fluktuasi kharga komoditas pangan terhadap inflasi di Provinsi Jawa Timur. Jurnal Ilmiah Mahasiswa FEB Universitas Brawijaya, 6(2), 1–19. https://jimfeb.ub.ac.id/index.php/jimfeb/article/view/5128/4504

Mardalisa, J., Kilat Adhi, A., & Suwarsinah, H. K. (2023). Analisis Pemasaran Beras Organik di Provinsi Sumatera Barat. Jurnal Agribisnis Indonesia, 11(2), 262–276. https://doi.org/10.29244/jai.2023.11.2.262-276