KEJADIAN DEMAM BERDARAH DENGUE (DBD) BERDASARKAN FAKTOR IKLIM DI KOTA TERNATE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.30597/mkmi.v12i4.1544Keywords:
Demam berdarah dengue, iklim, KotaTernateAbstract
Demam Berdarah Dengue (DBD) merupakan salah satu masalah kesehatan di Di Kota Ternate. Data Dinas Kesehatan Kota Ternate menjelaskan bahwa penyebaran DBD di Kota Ternate dikategorikan dalam 4 kelurahan endemis, 16 kelurahan sporadic dan 43 kelurahan potensial. Penelitian ini bertujuan mengetahui hubungan antara faktor iklim dengan kejadian DBD di Kota Ternate. Analisis dilakukan terhadap 3 persamaan dengan kombinasi faktor iklim yang berbeda, yaitu curah hujan, suhu dan kelembaban. Setiap persamaan mempertimbangkan lagtime 1 dan 2, analisis menggunakan program minitab statistical software 16.0 dan SPPS 17. Rata-rata kejadian DBD selama 8 tahun adalah 109 kasus dengan kejadian terendah 32 kasus pada tahun 2012 dan tertinggi 216 pada tahuan 2010. Hasil analisis statistik diketahui bahwa tidak terdapat hubungan antara kejadian DBD dengan curah hujan dengan nilai r=0,0009;p=0,993˃p0,05 serta kelembaban dengan nilai r=0,064;p=0,543˃p0,05, tetapi terdapat hubungan antara suhu dan kejadian DBD dengan nilai r=0,267;p=0,008˂p0,05 selama periode tahun2007-2014. Hasil analisis prediksi kejadian DBD di Kota Ternate pada bulan Juli yang dipengaruhi oleh suhu dengan nilai r=0,92;p=0,001˂p0,05 dan kelembaban dengan nilai r=0,97;p=0,001˂p0,05 satu bulan sebelumnya, sedangkan curah hujan sebelumnya tidak memberikan hubungan yang signifikan terhadap kejadian DBD. Kejadian DBD bulan Februari, Maret, April, Mei, Juni, Oktober dan November dipengaruhi oleh satu bulan sebelumnya dengan kisaran nilai r=0,55 - 0,95.References
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